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1. Best Fundamental Indicators and Metrics

Updated: 3 days ago

For our fundamental analysis we will consider all the indicators and metrics described below. These are the indicators and metrics that will help us discover stocks with high growth potential in the quarter. Only stocks whose all fundamental indicators (without exception) present good values ​​will be considered eligible for trading.


Although fundamental indicators and metrics allow us to determine the value and growth potential of a stock, it is important to understand that there are other factors that can also affect stock prices. This is why we should use fundamental indicators and metrics in conjunction with technical indicators, as well as be informed about research analysts´ recommendations, as all this information will help us to make better decisions about the best time to trade stocks.


Valuation Measures

  • Market Capitalization

    • Large-cap: $10 billion or more.

    • Mid-cap: $2 billion to $10 billion.

    • Small-cap: $300 million to $2 billion.

    • Range: <2B:Bad; >=2B and <10B:Normal ; >=10B:Good.

  • Enterprise Value (EV)

    • Used as a more comprehensive alternative to Market Capitalization. Measures the total value of a company.

    • Range: <2B:Bad; >=2B and <10B:Normal ; >=10B:Good.

  • Trailing Price-to-Earnings (P/E)

    • A lower P/E ratio may indicate that the stock is undervalued.

    • A higher P/E ratio may indicate that the stock is overvalued.

    • Range: <15:Good ; >=15 and <50:Normal ; >=50:Bad.

  • Forward Price-to-Earnings (P/E)

    • A lower forward P/E ratio may indicate that the stock is undervalued.

    • A higher forward P/E ratio may indicate that the stock is overvalued.

    • Range: <15:Good ; >=15 and <50:Normal ; >=50:Bad.

  • Price/Earnings-to-Growth (PEG)

    • A PEG ratio lower than 1 are considered better, indicating a stock is relatively undervalued.

    • A PEG ratio greater than 1 are generally considered unfavorable, suggesting a stock is overvalued.

    • Range: <1:Good ; >=1 and <2:Normal ; >=2:Bad.

  • Price-to-Sales (P/S)

    • A P/S ratio less than 1 may indicate that the stock is undervalued.

    • A P/S ratio greater than 1 may indicate that the stock is overvalued.

    • Range: <1:Good ; >=1 and <10:Normal ; >=10:Bad.

  • Price-to-Book (P/B)

    • A P/B ratio less than 1 signals to investors that a stock may be undervalued.

    • A P/B ratio greater than 1 means the stock is trading above its book value, which could imply overvaluation.

    • Range: <1:Good ; >=1 and <5:Normal ; >=5:Bad.

  • Enterprise-Value-to-Revenue Multiple (EV/R)

    • A EV/R multiple below 1 indicates that a company may be undervalued.

    • A EV/R multiple of 3 or greater would be considered quite high.

    • Range: <1:Good ; >=1 and <3:Normal ; >=3:Bad.

  • Enterprise Multiple (EV/EBITDA)

    • The lower the EV/EBITDA, the cheaper the valuation for a company.

    • A high EV/EBITDA could imply that the company is overvalued.

    • Range: <10:Good ; >=10 and <25:Normal ; >=25:Bad.


Profitability

  • Profit Margin

    • A profit margin of less than 5% is relatively low.

    • A profit margin of 20% or more is considered very healthy.

    • Range: <0%:Bad; >=0% and <20%:Normal ; >=20%:Good.

  • Operating Margin

    • A operating profit margin of less than 5% is relatively low.

    • A operating profit margin of 25% or more is considered very healthy.

    • Range: <0%:Bad; >=0% and <25%:Normal ; >=25%:Good.

  • Gross Margin

    • A gross profit margin of over 50% is healthy for most businesses.

    • Range: <0%:Bad; >=0% and <50%:Normal ; >=50%:Good.


Management Effectiveness


Income Statement

  • Revenue

    • The total amount a business earns before any deductions for costs and expenses.

    • Range: <0:Bad; 0:Normal ; >0:Good.

  • Gross Profit

    • A negative gross profit means that the company is spending more on sales than it's earning in sales revenue.

    • Range: <0:Bad; 0:Normal ; >0:Good.

  • EBITDA

    • It is a measure of a company's profitability, so the higher the EBITDA, generally the better.

    • Range: <0:Bad; 0:Normal ; >0:Good.

  • Net Income (NI)

    • A company with positive net income is more likely to have financial health than a company with negative net income.

    • Range: <0:Bad; 0:Normal ; >0:Good.


Balance Sheet

  • Debt-to-Equity (D/E)

    • A D/E ratio of less than 0.5 would be considered relatively safe.

    • A D/E ratio of 0.5 or higher may be considered risky.

    • Range: <0.1:Good; >=0.1 and <0.5:Normal ; >=0.5:Bad.

  • Long -Term-Debt-to-Equity (D/E)

    • Range: <0.1:Good; >=0.1 and <0.5:Normal ; >=0.5:Bad.

  • Current Ratio

    • A current ratio of less than 1 may indicate that the company does not have capital available to meet its short-term obligations.

    • A current ratio greater than 1 indicates that the company has the financial resources to remain solvent in the short term.

    • Range: <1:Bad ; >=1 and <3:Normal ; >=3:Good.

  • Quick Ratio

    • Range: <1:Bad ; >=1 and <3:Normal ; >=3:Good.


Cash Flow Statement

  • Operating Cash Flow (OCF)

    • Indicates whether a company can generate sufficient positive cash flow to maintain and grow its operations.

    • Range: <0:Bad; 0:Normal ; >0:Good.

  • Levered Free Cash Flow (LFCF)

    • When free cash flow is positive, it indicates the company is generating more cash than is used to run the business.

    • Range: <0:Bad; 0:Normal ; >0:Good.

  • Price/Cash Flow (P/CF)

    • A lower value for price to cash flow indicates that the company is undervalued and its stock is relatively cheap.

    • A higher value for price to cash flow indicates a company's stock is overvalued.

    • Range: <3:Good; >=3 and <50:Normal ; >=50:Bad.

  • Price/Free Cash Flow (P/FCF)

    • Range: <15:Good; >=15 and <50:Normal ; >=50:Bad.


Analysis

  • Quarterly Revenue Growth

    • Measures the increase in a firm's sales from one quarter to another.

    • Range: <0%:Bad; >=0% and <25%:Normal ; >=25%:Good

  • Earnings Surprise (Last Qtr)

    • Stock markets tend to react in the same direction as earnings surprises - positively to positive earnings surprises and negatively to negative earnings surprises.

    • Range: <0%:Bad; 0%:Normal ; >0%:Good.

  • Earnings Per Share (EPS)

    • A lower EPS may indicate that a company is struggling to generate profits.

    • A higher EPS may indicate a more profitable company.

    • Range: <0:Bad; 0:Normal ; >0:Good.

  • Sales Growth Estimate (Curr. Qtr.)

    • Range: <0%:Bad; >=0% and <25%:Normal ; >=25%:Good.

  • Sales Growth Estimate (Curr. Year) 

    • Range: <0%:Bad; >=0% and <25%:Normal ; >=25%:Good.

  • Growth Estimate (Curr. Qtr.)

    • Range: <0%:Bad; >=0% and <25%:Normal ; >=25%:Good.

  • Growth Estimate (Curr. Year)

    • Range: <0%:Bad; >=0% and <25%:Normal ; >=25%:Good.


History

  • Beta

    • A beta value of less than 1 means that the stock´s price is theoretically less volatile than the market.

    • If a stock has a beta value of 1, this indicates that its price activity is strongly correlated with the market.

    • A beta greater than 1 indicates that the stock's price is theoretically more volatile than the market.

    • Range: <1:Good ; >=1 and <3:Normal ; >=3:Bad.

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